Dec. 14, 2025

The Future of Healthcare: Moving Towards a Reduced-Subsidy Model

Can America transition to a healthcare system with fewer subsidies without harming patients? This post discusses a 'soft landing' strategy that prioritizes cleaning up corruption, empowering patients, and gradually rebalancing subsidies over time. This blog post expands on the themes discussed in our recent episode, Subsidies, Fraud, and the Healthcare Trap: Medicare, Medicaid, ACA & the Battle to Fix It | World of Payne, where we dove deep into the complexities of the American healthcare system, exploring the role of subsidies, the prevalence of fraud, and potential pathways for reform. We encourage you to listen to the episode for a more in-depth discussion of these critical issues.

Introduction: The Healthcare Spending Crisis in America

The United States spends more on healthcare than any other nation in the world. Year after year, the numbers climb, exceeding $4.5 trillion annually. Despite this staggering expenditure, many Americans still struggle to afford basic healthcare services. High premiums, exorbitant deductibles, and confusing billing practices leave families feeling financially vulnerable and uncertain about their access to necessary medical care. This unsustainable trajectory demands a serious examination of the underlying factors driving up costs and hindering access.

A key component of the healthcare spending puzzle is the pervasive role of subsidies. While subsidies are intended to help those who need it most – seniors, low-income families, individuals with disabilities, and the working poor – the current system has become riddled with inefficiencies, unintended consequences, and outright fraud. These issues inflate costs, create dependencies, and ultimately drain taxpayer dollars without necessarily improving patient outcomes. The time has come to question whether the current subsidy-driven model is truly serving its intended purpose and to explore alternative approaches that promote both affordability and quality of care.

The Role of Subsidies: Medicare, Medicaid, and the ACA

Subsidies are a cornerstone of the American healthcare system, designed to make coverage more accessible. Understanding how they function within Medicare, Medicaid, and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is crucial for identifying areas of reform.

Medicare, primarily for seniors and individuals with disabilities, operates through several parts (A, B, C, and D), each with its own funding mechanisms and cost-sharing arrangements. Traditional Medicare (Parts A and B) involves government-funded reimbursements to providers, while Medicare Advantage (Part C) offers private insurance options subsidized by the government. Part D provides prescription drug coverage, also with government subsidies. A major concern is the "risk-score gaming" within Medicare Advantage, where private insurers may exaggerate the health risks of their enrollees to receive higher government payments. This practice costs taxpayers billions of dollars annually and drives up corporate profits without necessarily improving patient care. This is not a flaw in the system, but an emergent property of a system where profits are derived from payments based on illness rather than wellness.

Medicaid, a joint federal-state program, provides healthcare coverage to low-income individuals and families. The federal government matches state spending through a formula known as the Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP). This matching system has created opportunities for states to manipulate the system, drawing down more federal funds than perhaps intended. Furthermore, the rise of Medicaid managed care, where private companies manage the healthcare benefits for Medicaid enrollees, has introduced another layer of complexity and potential for inflated costs. While Medicaid is a crucial lifeline for millions, its vulnerabilities require careful consideration to ensure resources are used efficiently and effectively.

The ACA, often referred to as Obamacare, utilizes subsidies to make private health insurance plans more affordable through income-based tax credits. These subsidies reduce monthly premiums for eligible individuals and families purchasing coverage on the health insurance marketplaces. While the ACA has expanded access to health insurance, its subsidy structure has also been criticized for creating dependence on government assistance. The removal of the "cliff" (formerly a sudden loss of subsidies when income exceeded a certain threshold) further increased government responsibility for healthcare costs, potentially leading to long-term fiscal challenges.

Hidden Costs and Inefficiencies in the Current System

Beyond the direct costs of subsidies, the American healthcare system is plagued by a multitude of hidden costs and inefficiencies that contribute to its overall expense. These include:

  • Administrative Complexity: The sheer volume of paperwork, coding requirements, and prior authorization processes within the healthcare system is staggering. Healthcare providers spend an enormous amount of time and resources on administrative tasks, diverting their attention from direct patient care. Studies estimate that administrative costs account for 25-30% of all U.S. healthcare spending.
  • Lack of Price Transparency: Patients often have little or no information about the cost of medical services before receiving them. This lack of transparency makes it difficult to shop around for the best prices and incentivizes providers to charge higher rates. The lack of transparency also leads to billing errors and disputes, further adding to administrative costs.
  • Defensive Medicine: The fear of malpractice lawsuits leads many doctors to order unnecessary tests and procedures to protect themselves from potential litigation. This practice, known as defensive medicine, contributes significantly to healthcare spending without necessarily improving patient outcomes.
  • Inefficient Use of Technology: While technology has the potential to streamline healthcare processes and improve efficiency, the current system is often characterized by fragmented and incompatible electronic health record (EHR) systems. This lack of interoperability hinders communication and coordination among providers, leading to errors and delays in care.

The Administrative Nightmare: Coding, Authorizations, and Paperwork

The administrative burden within the US healthcare system is a significant drain on resources and a source of frustration for patients and providers alike. The complexity of medical coding, prior authorizations, and general paperwork contributes substantially to the high cost of healthcare in America.

Medical coding, the process of translating medical diagnoses, procedures, and services into standardized codes for billing purposes, is an incredibly intricate and often arbitrary process. There are thousands of different codes, and the nuances of coding can lead to errors and disputes. This complexity requires specialized training and expertise, adding to administrative overhead for healthcare providers. Furthermore, the coding system incentivizes providers to bill for as many services as possible, even if those services are not strictly necessary.

Prior authorizations, a process where healthcare providers must obtain approval from insurance companies before providing certain treatments or medications, are another major source of administrative burden. The prior authorization process is often time-consuming and frustrating, delaying access to necessary care for patients. Insurance companies use prior authorizations to control costs, but the process adds to administrative overhead for both providers and insurers. It also creates an adversarial relationship between doctors and insurance companies, with doctors spending valuable time fighting for approvals instead of focusing on patient care.

The sheer volume of paperwork required to navigate the healthcare system is overwhelming. From patient registration forms to insurance claims to medical records, the amount of documentation is immense. This paperwork requires significant time and resources to manage, further adding to administrative costs. The reliance on paper-based processes also makes it difficult to share information efficiently and securely, hindering care coordination and increasing the risk of errors.

Exposing Healthcare Fraud and Abuse

Healthcare fraud and abuse are rampant within the American healthcare system, siphoning off billions of dollars annually and undermining the integrity of the system. These fraudulent activities range from individual scams to large-scale organized crime schemes.

Common types of healthcare fraud include:

  • Durable Medical Equipment (DME) Fraud: Fake suppliers bill Medicare or Medicaid for unnecessary or non-existent medical equipment, such as wheelchairs, walkers, and oxygen tanks.
  • Home Health and Hospice Fraud: Providers bill for services that were never provided, or for services that were not medically necessary, to patients in their homes or in hospice care.
  • Upcoding and Unbundling: Providers bill for more expensive services than were actually provided (upcoding) or bill separately for services that should be bundled together (unbundling).
  • Ghost Patients and Falsified Diagnoses: Providers bill for services provided to non-existent patients (ghost patients) or falsify diagnoses to justify unnecessary treatments.
  • Medicaid Managed Care Manipulation: Managed care plans manipulate enrollment data or billing practices to increase their profits at the expense of taxpayers.
  • ACA Marketplace Gaming: Individuals manipulate their income to qualify for higher subsidies on the ACA marketplaces, or hospitals steer patients towards specific plans to maximize their reimbursements.

These fraudulent activities are often difficult to detect and prosecute, due to the complexity of the healthcare system and the lack of transparency. Organized crime and international fraud rings are increasingly targeting Medicare and Medicaid, making it even more challenging to combat fraud. Stronger enforcement measures, including real-time AI auditing, criminal charges for large-scale fraud, and enhanced whistleblower protections, are needed to deter and punish healthcare fraud. Public transparency dashboards, allowing taxpayers to see where their money is going, would also increase accountability and deter fraudulent behavior.

Realistic Reform Solutions

Addressing the challenges facing the American healthcare system requires a multi-faceted approach that focuses on administrative simplification, fraud reduction, and patient empowerment.

Administrative Simplification

Reducing the administrative burden within the healthcare system is essential for lowering costs and improving efficiency. This can be achieved through:

  • Standardizing Medical Codes: Reducing the number of medical codes and simplifying the coding process would reduce administrative overhead and the risk of errors.
  • Implementing a National Claims Standard: Establishing a national standard for healthcare claims would streamline the billing process and make it easier for providers to get paid accurately and on time.
  • Promoting Interoperability of EHR Systems: Ensuring that electronic health record systems can communicate with each other would improve care coordination and reduce the need for redundant paperwork.
  • Overhauling Prior Authorizations: Streamlining the prior authorization process and reducing the number of services that require prior authorization would reduce administrative burden and improve access to care.

Cracking Down on Fraud

Aggressive measures are needed to combat healthcare fraud and abuse. These include:

  • Implementing Real-Time AI Auditing: Using artificial intelligence to detect fraudulent claims in real-time would prevent billions of dollars from being stolen from the healthcare system.
  • Pursuing Criminal Charges for Large-Scale Fraud: Holding individuals and companies accountable for engaging in healthcare fraud, including pursuing criminal charges and imposing hefty fines, would deter future fraudulent behavior.
  • Strengthening Whistleblower Protections: Protecting whistleblowers who report healthcare fraud would encourage individuals to come forward with information and help expose fraudulent schemes.
  • Creating Public Transparency Dashboards: Providing taxpayers with access to information about how their healthcare dollars are being spent would increase accountability and deter fraud.

Empowering Patients Through Redirected Subsidies

Empowering patients to make informed healthcare decisions is crucial for controlling costs and improving quality of care. This can be achieved by redirecting subsidies towards:

  • Personalized Health Accounts: Providing individuals with personalized health accounts would give them greater control over their healthcare spending and incentivize them to shop around for the best prices.
  • Direct Primary Care: Direct primary care models, where patients pay a monthly fee directly to their primary care physician, can provide more affordable and personalized care.
  • Price Transparency Tools: Providing patients with access to price transparency tools would allow them to compare prices for medical services and make informed decisions about their care.

Medicaid Reform

Reforming Medicaid is essential for ensuring that the program provides effective and efficient healthcare coverage to low-income individuals and families. This can be achieved through:

  • Protecting Vulnerable Populations: Ensuring that children, people with disabilities, and low-income seniors continue to receive the healthcare coverage they need.
  • Closing FMAP Loopholes: Closing loopholes in the Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) would prevent states from manipulating the system to draw down more federal funds than intended.
  • Tightening Eligibility Requirements: Appropriately tightening eligibility requirements for Medicaid would ensure that the program is focused on serving those who truly need it.
  • Linking Non-Disabled Adults to Work and Training: Connecting non-disabled adults to work and training programs would help them become self-sufficient and reduce their reliance on Medicaid.

Medicare Reform

Reforming Medicare is crucial for ensuring the long-term sustainability of the program and improving the quality of care for seniors and individuals with disabilities. This can be achieved through:

  • Reining in Medicare Advantage Risk-Score Gaming: Implementing stricter oversight of Medicare Advantage plans and preventing them from exaggerating the health risks of their enrollees would save taxpayers billions of dollars annually.
  • Enforcing Site-Neutral Payments: Ensuring that providers are paid the same amount for the same services, regardless of where those services are provided, would eliminate incentives to steer patients towards more expensive settings.
  • Making Benefits More Straightforward and Transparent: Simplifying Medicare benefits and making them more transparent would make it easier for seniors and individuals with disabilities to understand their coverage and make informed decisions about their care.

The Big Question: Moving Towards a Reduced-Subsidy Model

The central question is: can America ever move towards a reduced-subsidy healthcare model without harming patients? The answer is complex and requires a careful and strategic approach. Simply cutting subsidies without addressing the underlying problems in the healthcare system would likely lead to disastrous consequences, leaving millions of Americans without access to affordable care.

A 'Soft Landing' Strategy for Healthcare Reform

A "soft landing" strategy for healthcare reform involves a gradual and phased approach that prioritizes:

  • Cleaning Up Corruption First: Aggressively combating healthcare fraud and abuse is essential for freeing up resources and restoring trust in the system.
  • Empowering Patients and Communities: Giving patients more control over their healthcare decisions and fostering community-based healthcare solutions can lead to more efficient and effective care.
  • Gradually Rebalancing Subsidies Over Time: Reducing subsidies gradually, while implementing other reforms to lower costs and improve access, would minimize the disruption to patients and the healthcare system.

This approach recognizes that the transition to a reduced-subsidy model must be carefully managed to avoid harming vulnerable populations. It requires a commitment to both fiscal responsibility and compassionate care. It demands that we prioritize efficiency, transparency, and accountability within the healthcare system. Only through such a comprehensive and thoughtful approach can we achieve a healthcare system that is both affordable and accessible for all Americans.

Conclusion: Compassion Without Corruption

The American healthcare system is at a crossroads. We can continue down the current path of unsustainable spending and growing inequality, or we can embrace a new vision of healthcare that prioritizes efficiency, transparency, and patient empowerment. Moving towards a reduced-subsidy model is not about abandoning those in need; it's about creating a system that is both fiscally responsible and compassionate. By cleaning up corruption, empowering patients, and gradually rebalancing subsidies, we can create a healthcare system that serves all Americans, without breaking the bank.

This blog post has explored the complex issues surrounding healthcare subsidies and potential pathways for reform. For a more in-depth discussion of these topics, be sure to listen to our latest episode, Subsidies, Fraud, and the Healthcare Trap: Medicare, Medicaid, ACA & the Battle to Fix It | World of Payne. Let's work together to build a healthcare system that reflects our values of compassion, fairness, and fiscal responsibility.